types of national security

This issue concerns foreign power-sponsored They might seek an economic advantage, or to gain insight into our military or foreign policy. It is prudent to expect to be surprised by the way in which these events may cascade, or have far-reaching effects. Perhaps the best example of this challenge is the explosive growth of different forms of social media via mobile technology, which is yielding, essentially in real time, potential new forms of data about political and social trends. the predecessor to the current Political Instability Task Force (PITF), began working with a set of some 700 potential variables and over time reduced its final model to 4. accorded to similar maps in parts of the world where there are not such well-developed databases on past fires and on temperatures.

For example, a projection of drought risk from climate models might be tested against a drought severity indicator and validated even in the absence of extreme drought events. Denial of service attacks disrupt business and undermine confidence. In setting priorities for indicator development and improvement, the intelligence community should take into account the gaps between the existing and the desired resolution and should invest in improved resolution for those indicators judged to be the most needed and the most useful in places of concern.

It would also support research to develop and validate indicators of key phenomena linking climate and security, as has been done with research on the phenomena of political instability. |   TOP OF PAGE   5, about the characteristics of climate events and of the affected societies that determine whether or not potentially disruptive climate events turn into security threats. To search the entire text of this book, type in your search term here and press Enter. MyNAP members SAVE 10% off online.

The needed monitoring will be a major undertaking over an extended period, which should avoid duplication of. The intelligence community cannot address these challenges alone.

For many of these factors, however, sufficient knowledge exists to identify some of the measures that might constitute an indicator and therefore to begin building and testing indicators. As the recent National Research Council (2012a) review of the USGCRP strategic plan noted, “An effective global change research enterprise requires an integrated observational system that connects observations of the physical environment with a wide variety of social and ecological observations. Emerging infectious diseases are receiving increasing attention because there is a long history of such diseases surprising societies and causing high morbidity and mortality, sometimes accompanied by social disruption (Lindgren et al., 2012). Nonetheless, transparency would be a central principle from the outset. The FBI will investigate the activities of any Efforts to develop environmental observation priorities for security analysis should focus on identifying a small number of composite indices designed for specified purposes of analysis or early warning. Stress tests would focus on potentially disruptive conjunctions of climate events and socioeconomic and political conditions. What analytical techniques are most appropriate for the growing number of “big data” approaches? Monitoring the potential that inadequate responses will rise to the level of concern for U.S. national security entails estimating and assessing the ways security conditions in countries and regions of interest could be affected by climate events.

Infrastructure. climate events in ways that create security threats. Click here to buy this book in print or download it as a free PDF, if available. Monitoring systems will require the integration of quantitative indicators of both environmental and social phenomena, qualitative data on social systems, and information gathered by traditional security and intelligence analytic methods.


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